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The Recount

The Recount

143,000 subscribers

ā± šŸ‘ 37,380 views

Why 2028 could be the most unstable election in modern history

Video Overview & Insights

Could 2026 become an anti-establishment wave election?

You assume that the Republicans will accept the results. I don’t see any reason to believe that they will.

— @Lew114

Across the country, small signs of voter rebellion are beginning to emerge in the 2026 congressional primaries. House members running for higher office are losing their primaries — some, even after getting Donald Trump’s powerful endorsement. An incumbent governor lost a Senate primary race, as did two incumbent senators. Dozens of incumbents are pulling smaller shares of the primary vote than last time around. And while it’s too early to say for certain, the signs are pointing to two big trends converging — and together they could upend not just the 2026 midterms but the 2028 presidential primaries as well.

0:00 Anti-incumbent wave building

2012 was d, 2016 was r, 2020 was d, 2024 was r, so 4 actually not 3

— @Koolteenn

1:03 Incumbents’ promotions denied

2:29 Senate incumbents’ struggles

Massie for 2028 😤

— @Koolteenn

3:04 Declining margins of victory

4:34 2028 implications

Never normalize a Vance 2028 presidential run, he took part in a criminal organization to overrun the US democracy and should be treated as such, ineligible for office

— @bradleykoperski7198

6:12 The primaries problem

7:10 Presidential cycle volatility

if he wins again, there's gonna be a riot. i guarantee it.

— @Samskilleton21

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Because before the ballots are even counted, if it looks like conservatives are losing, Trump cries fraud.
So far, no evidence of enough fraud to change a single election outcome has been found, and most of what little has been found has been Republicans doing it.

— @BoecifusJones24

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmsrXvrQ1S_61vVO-fNL-Mg?sub_confirmation=1

We also heard that Trump had no chance of becoming President. And why should we vote Democrat when they offer us nothing? We're better off now than under them.

— @bigverybadtom

More User Perspectives

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The Democrats seem pretty set on offering Gavin Newsom as the candidate in 2028, take him or leave him and continually ramming him down out throats. The establishment won't give up easily

@FalconsEye14305
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We can't have candidates with allegiance to any private group including religious cults, secret societies, or even the ol boys political class. That's why nobody wants incumbents, they've shown who they are

@IchigoThePrincess
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2:07 what about that hack Charlie Crist in 2010 he was incumbent

@josephnewsome2935
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As a European I have to say that 2028 is one of the biggest chances for a 3rd party candidate since 1992

@patskats4859
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Idk who "they" is regarding really not liking Trump after electing him a second term, but I think there's a lot of truth with how 2026 will be different. Mostly every Trump endorsed candidate has won their primary, which removes incumbents in certain cases. It's becoming less establishment (or arguably RINO) Republicans and leaning more long-term MAGA-styled Republican post-Trump. It's a huge political party identity shift which perfectly counters the Liberal policies of open borders, identity politics, and high taxes (to name a few). Whether or not they'll WIN against their opponent will be determined by voters. I personally think those three issues alone is why there's such a huge shift in Republican voters throughout states. People may not like Republicans or Trump, but his policies are fundamentally better.

@DylanSnider
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The Establishment will pull out all the stops to make sure it's Gavin/Pete vs. JD/Marco, rebranding them as new era politicians who are in touch with the youth. Just watch.

@stevester9148
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Although it's true that the last three cycles have flipped back and forth, it has to be acknowledged that Trump would have sailed through reelection in 2020 had covid never happened. Trump lost by 43,000 votes between three swing States and Democrats would not have had a snowballs chance in hell of winning without the crisis of covid. The country and the West in general is swinging to the right and will continue to do so.
Although Trump has not delivered as much change as people have wanted, he has changed significantly more than any president in that at least two to three plus decades. It's hard to say what's going to happen in 28, but if Democrats nominate Kamala Harris, I have a feeling Republicans will eke out a victory even if a few states swing Democrat, we are probably going to see at least one or two flips towards the Republicans. Maybe in Minnesota, New Hampshire and a long shot in New Mexico.

@ultimatedab743
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SAY ME!!! IF YOUR GOING TO VOTE AGAINST BLACK AMERICAN AND MINORITIES RIGHTS SO WE CAN SEE YOU CLEARLY!!!!!!!!!!!!! IF YOUR AGAINST EQUALITY SAY ME!!!!!.....SO WE CAN SEE YOU

@CraigNelson-gw6jw
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Hopefully there won't be an election

@luciusoptimus7888
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Not a king. Not a god. Not a celebrity. Not the 'most powerful person in the world'.

A president is a person with a job, equal to dozens of other people with jobs in Congress and the Supreme Court. We hire a person who can do the job for all of us, and hold them- all of the three branches- accountable for misuse of the position. Period. THAT is what we need to clearly define this time around.

@Hinoema01
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How do we vote for anyone when both parties play for the same team (country) behind closed doors and actively work to make our lives worse? We keep falling in this never ending cycle of red or blue, me vs you tribalism when in reality it’s us and them: when does this change?

@clawmachinez26
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How about we stop electing old fart geriatric boomers regardless of party

@jsa-17
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Ever since the DNC screw the election against Bernie I have voted Republican

@coffeedad31
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Wrong premise. The most unstable election in modern history will be in 2026. Unstable enough that there may not be a 2028 election.

@farmergiles1065
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Vote all the old folks out n both sides šŸ’™šŸ™ƒāœŒļøšŸ‘

@roneeclark1329
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We should vote Andy Beshear, He supports the LGBT community, he prevents Child abuse, Consumer Protection, Eliminating sexual assault, Health care, Education, Crime, Environment, Many more good stuff.

@Starburstpower68
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If the Democrats keep going the way they are Democrats are going to lose 2026 and 2028. The way things are looking. I don't even know why Democrats are even allowed to vote if 90% of them hate America.

@edgaracajabon9522
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"We're fighting for the livelihood of our democracy"
Well trump won popular vote in 2024. Brainwashed

@alexcarter1234
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Certainly going to involve the most unstable electorate in modern history

@JervisGermane
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I, for one, love what the establishment has done in recent years. Big fan of all those guys, personally

@aidan_hall
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INCOMING TRUTH NUKE
















































































THE CANDIDATE ELECTED PRESIDENT IN 2028 WILL BE







































Greg Heffley

@grandlordkaching9560
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2026&2028 are going to be something else šŸ¤”

@jeremyhodge6216
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I know we’ve only said it about 35 times but I think this is really a libertarian election to win

@Lt.Dan42791
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ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤ā¤100% Republican

@Independent432
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I hope it goes back to Dems but please do not let it be Gavin Newsom. He's such a sleazeball.

@burntfrootloop4073
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MAGA corrupted the entire election system. They don't want honest elections. They've rigged it all. Prove otherwise.

@Junior-ck3jq
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You forgot President Biden in your thumbnail.

@sean.bertolino
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7:35 another similarity between that time and now is that those two democratic wins were the same candidate (Grover Cleveland). Only time before Trump that an incumbent lost his bid for re-election and came back to win it again four years later.

@timvlaar
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Fulton County Commissioner Robb Pitts just lost as the incumbent in a landslide to a somewhat outsider. I’d also point out that age is a big factor in voting against an 80 year old incumbent. It’s time for representation by more active people who are still living our struggle.

@jaredjohnson2417
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Here in CT, Josh Elliott is running against Ned Lamont. He became the first person to get more than 15% of the delegates at the convention in over 40 years. What does that mean? It means he became the first candidate to primary a sitting governor running for reelection in 40 years, and only the 2nd in CT history. But he didn't just get the 15% required, he got 25%. Also, many delegates admitted in private that they only voted for Lamont publicly because they were scared he would take away state funding for their towns, because you know, he do be like that. In the primary though, they said they would vote for Josh

@amoryerenhouse5535
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18h early
6;39
Cool vid

@helpeytb
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Never underestimate the human ability to not learn from the past.

@katynewt
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Anti-establishment vs anti-establishment 2028!

@Jedindy
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Ro Khanna 2028

@Jedindy
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šŸ˜‚šŸ˜‚šŸ˜… history keeps repeating itself, PBD said the same thing back in 2022&2023.

@victorkai2838
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2:56 AS A MASSACHUSETTS VOTER…

FIRST, COMMENT DOWN BELOW IF YOU’RE A MASSHOLE

SECOND,

I’m curious to see what your perspectives all are, but at least for me, when comparing Ed Markey to Seth Moulton, (even as someone from MACD6) I’d rather have Ed Markey in the senate. Yes, he is old, but he’s not as openly transphobic like Moulton is.

Don’t take this as an endorsement of Markey btw, I deeply encourage all MA voters to vote for Alex Rikleen in the Dem primary for Senate, he’s an outsider, and against genocide unlike Markey and Moulton

Additionally, I encourage MA voters to not vote Democrat for Senate, and to vote for PSL (Party for Socialism and Liberation) candidate Joe Tache. Tache is the best candidate on the ballot, people need to stop blindly voting for the two parties because then if the two parties can blindly expect your vote, they won’t actually care to win you over.

So, MA voters, let me know your thoughts below, but my endorsement is

Alex Rikleen in the Dem primary and Joe Tache in the general

@waspwrap1235
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Stein Sliwa 2028

@waspwrap1235
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Bad Empanada for President 2028

@waspwrap1235
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The USA needs national Jungle Primaries

@waspwrap1235
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Vote ACP šŸ› ļø

@waspwrap1235
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Vote PSL šŸ› ļø

@waspwrap1235
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Vote Green 🟩

@waspwrap1235
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0:17 what about for people outside of the Blue MAGA/MAGA cult

@waspwrap1235