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CNBC

CNBC

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Why Wall Street Has Never Seen A Company Like SpaceX

Video Overview & Insights

SpaceX is heading toward public markets with a valuation that could put it among the most valuable companies on Earth. But is it a rocket company, a satellite internet business, a defense contractor, an AI infrastructure play — or something new entirely?

Elon Musk is a dream seller.
He sold the Tesla dream, made his money, and moved on when cheap Chinese EVs took over. Now he’s selling the SpaceX dream. When that fades, there will be another.
His real talent isn’t technology — it’s marketing. He uses communication better than almost anyone to sell belief, and people keep buying.

— @MoM-z14Omega

CNBC's Deirdre Bosa breaks down the “strategic tech premium” — companies like SpaceX may be valued not just on growth, but on national importance, government dependency and their role as private infrastructure. The catch: the same indispensability that creates the premium may eventually invite regulation, price controls or government oversight.

Chapters:

don't forget space mining.

— @babyshark-9999-u

0:00 - 0:51 Introduction

0:52 - 3:50 The strategic tech premium

Within ten years the next US dictator will Nationalize the Space part and discard the rest.

— @cryptocynic304

3:51 - 5:44 Beyond SpaceX

5:45 Too important

Ahh, financial Darwinism kicking in again

— @0Ciju0

Anchor and Columnist: Deirdre Bosa

Produced by: Jasmine Wu

The Economist put the best. The valuation is justified only if you think that in the next 2-3 decades SpaceX will be a multi planetary company and conquering the solar system. It’s too impractical at the current level of technology.

— @aparajitasuman9727

Edited by: Matt Soto

Senior Director of Video: Jeniece Pettitt

Did she just say OpenAI hit 8 billion users?

— @himanish-k

Additional Footage: Getty Images

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I hate Elon, but it's a BUY. Why? It's all about $$$. 🧐

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Let me be clear, I would NEVER allow my country to rely on an Elon Musk company or even an American company for infrastructure with a strategic consideration - and I doubt there are any other countries who would say different

— @Christmas12

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Dont fool us, if Spacex goes dark, THE COUNTRY WILL STILL RUN

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SpaceX’s core financial picture is dominated by heavy losses from Starship and XAI, which erase the gains from Falcon 9 and Starlink. The launch business “showed a loss because of the amount of R&D going into Starship” and that XAI is “dragging it down.” The company is turning to public markets because it cannot fund its own plans internally, and its valuation depends on speculative market projections rather than proven revenue. Any savvy investor wouldn’t want to invest in SpaceX. SpaceX is a high burn, high risk conglomerate whose most expensive programs have no proven ROI, which is exactly why a cautious investor should hesitate.



The valuation is based on fanciful TAM numbers, not real revenue or proven markets. SpaceX’s IPO also offers no strong ROI case grounded in engineering, science, biology, or human physiology, because the company’s most ambitious revenue narratives depend on technologies that have not yet overcome fundamental physical and biological constraints.



Starship has not demonstrated reliable reusability or safe human rated performance, and long duration spaceflight still faces unresolved physiological barriers such as radiation exposure, muscle and bone degradation, and life support stability. Likewise, space based AI compute depends on unproven engineering leaps in power generation, thermal management, and orbital infrastructure. None of these challenges have validated solutions, meaning the projected markets rest on speculative breakthroughs rather than demonstrated scientific or engineering feasibility.

— @ancientprogressive3343

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Please off all of them every rich pos.

— @erokcreates

The SpaceX IPO Could Redefine How Wall Street Values Tech

100 x 100 miles of solar can power whole usa - elon musk. but data center in space is next shiny thing. Elon is a cult.

— @kunjsolanki6340

More User Perspectives

@

Love or hate him, Musk is awesome.

@ThinkTwice2307
@

Let's look at his "Grok AI". I was so excited when I saw it in the spring that I subscribed for a year. The tool for generating video backgrounds was great, with limits of 50 videos every 2 hours. Then in mid-May they suddenly changed the terms, and now it’s down to only 18 videos per day. I paid for one thing and got something completely different. I don’t think I can trust Musk’s initiatives anymore. You can’t move the goalposts like that after people have already bought in. That alone should tell investors something — assuming they have any common sense.

@rendermanpro
@

why? cnbc has never seen any business fall from such heights

@auro1986
@

Sounds like an advertisement 😂

@suyashyadav7827
@

Easy answer. Because there was never a fraud as big as Musk. Next question.

@bad_financial_move9169
@

Stating that Spacex is indispensible to America's space program is so disrespectful to Nasa! Didnt Elon try to cut spending on Nasa through his stupid DOGE initiative? Spacex has clearly stated its main revenue is going to come from AI and not space!

@ecoideazventures6417
@

Finally, a rational discussion that isn’t click bait or foolishly over simplified or lacking fundamental differences between SpaceX and what people tend to think of when they think of a company.

@julieXKCD
@

One of the presenters shoe laces was undone…….couldn’t concentrate on the video after seeing that a couple of times!! 😂

@ChrisYucca
@

CNBC sell SPACE living the shot outta ah!!

@tharukabalasooriya3269
@

I'm a willing slave to Elon.

@jaym9846
@

Who is the "market"? The retail investor and the pension funds and other institutional investors they all think SpaceX should be valued below Morningstar's valuation of 700B. SpaceX's S1 filing says >80% of its valuation is for future X-AI growth. Of the 1/2 dozen foundation LLM's Grok's is the worst. What will save SpaceX is the ability of major investment banks to manipulate the stock long enough for it to be included in the indexes that will force buying by the index funds. But after buying spree is over it will lose, over a year 90% of its value. But that's OK, the early investors will have cashed out, leaving the rest of us with picking up the garbage. The question is will the three IPO, Anthropic and Open AI, as well as the ~80B stock sales by Google, Meta and other bit tech firms cause a
global depression.

@mgronich948
@

AI data centers in space has zero electricity cost. SpaceX has so much more room to grow. Example, laser satellites to shoot down nuclear weapons.

@ritchiestrickland5569
@

How is Solar City doing these days? Any update on the solar roof tiles Elon demonstrated all those years ago?

@charleskriswell7938
@

For people believing in crypto, Spcx is GIC 😂

@DashCamera
@

Wall Street has seen a company like SpaceX, it was called Enron.

@murrethmedia
@

So SpaceX backed by Uncle Sam will become the next US postal service. All is well like Medicare/Social Security.

@AresROC
@

Gonna be some fan boys losing their shirts on market orders

@Vix381
@

Общая капитализация всех 5 компаний связанных с оборонкой, которые вы упомянули, составляет ~$600 млрд. Выручка ~$300 млрд, прибыль ~$20 мрлд. Так все-таки - почему убыточный стартап с P/S ratio ~100 Маска стоит ~2$ трлн? И почему оценка этой компании изменилась за год в ~10 раз?
Deirdre Bosa, при всем уважение к вам - вы не раскрыли тему и в целом плохо подготовили материал. Кстати прелестные кеды - в кроссовках, правда, вам было бы удобнее ходить.

@татулинаорел
@

There is no fair valuation for monopoly

@tamimkhan742
@

Its a scam

@mazx19
@

Bitcooneeect.....😂

@Money-Printers.
@

SpaceX is already a strategic launch provider, no one can do what SpaceX does for manned, NRO & Space Force payloads.

@johnmann980
@

Some media analysts were similarly rosy towards AOL Time Warner.

@sekyenleong4732
@

SpaceX Stock Prices To D Cosmos & Beyond ? We will c..

@brianpham8877
@

Giving cybertruck vibes 😂

@blessingndlovu9037
@

Starship is about as big as the ISS, costs about $90 million and can stay in orbit a year with crew for $3-4 billion with current infrastructure. A mass production factory is well on its way to being finished for transport docked to take finished vehicles from Texas to their 3rd launch pad in Florida. Last few launches, since the last booster catch, have been intentionally experimental and torturous to refine the finished product. Future is knocking on the door.

@homeplanet365
@

Space X registered as A.i. company not space technology. Additionally, the private investors will be the winners and you, retail investors, are the losers if you invest in Space X.

@lifesabeach5405
@

Girl talking out of high school.

@Patrick-yh5yd
@

Let’s just face it, this is not a investment, it’s a fugazi

@777-E-L
@

thx dee!

@matt.stevick
@

Wall Street never saw a company like this because the USA has went full Techno-Fascist. The government sees it as a way to increase their mass surveillance, control the free flow of information and as a way to force state narratives.

Can you imagine Covid if the Democrats could just lean on AI to "educated" everyone properly? Or if Trump could force non stop narratives about Iran and China?

@jordanslingluff287
@

The United States government is the only reason spaceX exists to this day they should just take it since they paid for it.

@Cantfunction1386
@

Tired: Tesla is a tech company
Wired: SpaceX is not about rockets

@keiserious
@

Way too much hype.. NASA has used other companies to launch into orbit..😂 so has the government.

@martingo2680
@

Stuff SpaceX up your a$$ 😂

@Joe-nj8py
@

Surprisingly impressive coverage, I must give CNBC credit on this one. I expected a hit piece.

@andrewkaylor