S&P 500: The Failed Breakout That Could Crash the Market 15-20%
Video Overview & Insights
The S&P 500 is flashing a chart pattern that every trader needs to see right now. In this video, Gareth Soloway breaks down the exact technical setup that could lead to a 15-20% market crash — and what has to happen first for that to confirm.
I have a theory. If algorithms have largely taken over trading for the market moving funds, is it crazy to think Ai is actually behind this most recent bubble in both ways? Scary.
Gareth walks through the daily chart trend line that called the recent drawdown, explains why the bounce happened exactly where it did (scene of the crime), and then zooms out to the logarithmic macro chart connecting the 2009 financial crisis low to the COVID low — and what that trend line means for where we are RIGHT NOW.
This is chart analysis at its deepest level. No opinions. No noise. Just levels.
That parallel analysis was the chefs kiss my man. I've been watching it for a potential head and shoulders since that head like patterned formed, but missed that channel. As soon as you started drawing it I thought "wow, how'd I miss that". Your analysis is always on point, and what I love the most, it's original and ignores the noise
📌 What's covered in this video:
The S&P 500 daily trend line breakdown and bounce
Gareth 2028
Why the SpaceX IPO and Iran deal moved the market
Scene of the crime — what a retrace to a broken parallel means
Thank you
Lower low confirmed. Lower high still to be determined.
The failed breakout scenario and what 15-20% downside looks like
Learning so much on technical charts from you. Thank you Shri Guru!!
The logarithmic macro chart: 2009 low → 2020 low → current peak
⏱️ Chapters:
Investing according technical analysis is a 50/50 bet, you can also throw a coin!
00:00 Intro & today's setup
01:00 Daily chart trend line breakdown
How quickly does this down move usually happen after the failed breakouts?
03:00 Scene of the crime — the parallel retrace
04:45 Lower lows, lower highs — what to watch
Gareth, your series of targeted videos is nothing short of fantastic... :)
06:00 Failed breakout explained
09:00 Zooming out — the logarithmic macro chart
11:00 The big picture warning
🔴 Join Gareth's Top Squad for exact trade entries:
Thank you, Garreth.. I love your passion with these charts and technicals. Im new at this and feels the same way sir. Amazing knowledge you are sharing and I thank you!🫡👍👊🤙🎉
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwTu6kD2igaLMpxswtcdxlg/join
📈 Free market analysis & tools:
LOLLLL , NEWS WINS OVER TA BS. GARETH IS A PIKER
www.VerifiedInvesting.com
💰 Rumble Wallet — buy crypto & gold fast. Use code VERIFIED10 for $10 free:
AND then it hits 7515, what's next after the Fed comes to bat?
wallet.rumble.com/Verified
Take Control of Your Money and claim $10 in US Stablecoin (USD₮)! Download now at http://wallet.rumble.com/Verified and use the code VERIFIED10.
The only thing I watch now are Gareth's daily updates. Appreciate you for the efforts and the consistency sir
Void where prohibited. No purchase necessary. Offer available to US residents only. Offer not available in New York State. Must be 18+. Offer is available for a limited time and for the first 500 wallets activated and funded. Details and full official rules available at http://rumble.com/promoofficialrules.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
Gracias Gareth ✨
#SP500 #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #GarethSoloway #MarketCrash #StockMarketToday #Trading #SwingTrading #MarketAnalysis #VerifiedInvesting
The truth is, no matter how bad the economy gets, most of us need to strive for great ideas and also make decisions on how to survive and become successful, although not all of us were financially literate early enough to understand this. For me I was 40 when I finally educated myself and started taking steps on how to better my life, I went from $120,000 in debt with zero savings or retirement to now, 2 years later, fully debt-free and with over $895,000 net worth. It may not SOUND like a lot, but I'm so proud of myself for it. Now I'm fast-tracking my wealth building (investing $100,000 annually) with no debts at all. It's a good feeling! Hopefully I will retire soon and purchase another new house for my retirement.
More User Perspectives
I thought I was subscribed to this Chanel? So glad I found this, have watched you for years in interviews. Thanks for everything you do!
@gonzo8134Short of any other news to counter Trump’s “electronically signed” agreement with Iran, Monday will be a monstrous short squeeze of all times. I better cover my own short position before markets open.😳😩
Al Pacino said it beautifully in God Father 3:
“When I thought I’m done, They Pulled Me In”, referring to not wanting to be the Godfather anymore. 🤣🤣
Last april 2025 gareth was adamant about inflation over the Tarriffs😂 now is the Oil! As he says hes not always correct
@Uscmjprisonlifemilitary09You literally will draw a trend line anywhere your credibility is terrible this is trash Analytics
@richstrappleSo glad I found this channel. Thanks Gareth!
@guycheung454Thanks Gareth for sharing with us your wealth of knowledge
@DonSpeightGarrett, now I know what to get you for your birthday: five charts😂❤
@NourRaslan-t7oFake news released and premarkets rip. Gotta love it! 🕹🤏🏼 📈 🇺🇲
@MyscentseiOnce again Gareth .. take a bow 🙇
@frmindiaAppreciate you Garath
@nothorns770Maybe we break that logarithmic channel to the upside and see the best returns of our lifetime. Then we crash 50%.
@TwinTurbo997going up now deal is done with Iran
@alcollins-b1dSo it’s broken up above trend line but if you look at logarithmic it’s breaking down 🤔 😅
@RichBikesNIIt would take a 50 increase from BOJ to have this correction, I don't think a 25 increase would have any effect.
@timhansen5303Gareth your a magician ! I love your willingness too share your wisdom, experience & excitement.
@Paul-899ccThank you, Gareth.
@exceptionallySeriouslyCuriousUre great man, so natural❤
@caesarjulles8489Been watching from the sidelines for awhile now from when you hanging with Ben Cowan and others and have watched and listened from some of the greats buffet, Livermore etc and don’t like to give these modern YouTube style traders any kudos but love your attitude and philosophical/humble approach to investing it’s refreshing amongst these standard bozos and there’s many as you know. So keep going you know who you are and don’t care whether people follow or not but just want to teach and it shows. Love your style Gareth keep going man you’re gonna be great.🎉😊
@iamgadgetboyYou will see what you want to see
@SpiritednessI really appreciate you, Garreth . Thanks for sharing. U DA MAN!!!
@mikedok1The biggest problem Gareth has is to talk about potential drops and sizes when nothing on the chart indicates anything bearish. That's not technical analysis. That's making predictions.
@jfyhouImagine believing that price touching an infinite number of randomly drawn channels means anything
@idaustinGreat analysis as always Gareth. Note on the SPX log trend line. The bottom trend line can be moved up and hit 4 low points (Covid being the outlier). The brings us to around $5400 as a resistance level - maybe
@IntoThePureAlways appreciate these videos 😊
@positivepush7503Thx gareth for sharing your knowledge❤
@eRHa9000Thank you Sr 🙌🏼
@oscarslgua5170so were going down in price for the summer?
@valiantone77Gareth's performance has been a total disaster for the last 3 years. He holds his losers and sells winners too early. For 25 he is down a minimum of 600%. He goes short high flying stocks and never sells. 600% is conservative estimate. He will tell you he won 88% of his trades in 25 but he does not tell you about the shorts that he missed by 1000% and still holding.
@David-nv4sihi Gareth, one should always use semilog charts, that is what I do. To define a channel on only 2 lows is statistically not relevant.
@mentordepret757I mean that's all very interesting but what about Jesus?
@premabhakti432I really respect your channel and analysis a lot, but I just don't see any sort of large pull back on the horizon more than what we have already experienced this year. I think we have seen the lows. I see new all time highs on the horizon.
Thanks, man!
Take what??????
@KevinTPX1Is 15-20% a crash or a major corection?
@Franklin-pc3xdThanks for your work Gareth
@classiccarcollector1972❤PERFECT❤
@EmadJahanshiri