Oil Price and War | Historical Analysis Since 1861
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I like how this channel terms everyother attack or occupation as an invasion but termed US invasion of Iraq as a subtle military action😂
As the most recent escalation of hostilities between the US and Iran simmers down for the time being, we decided to take a look at how the oil price usually behaves when there’s a prolonged conflict, especially in the Middle East.
In this video you’ll see an oil price analysis that doesn’t focus so much on the specific levels on the oil chart, but rather the relationship between oil price and war and its movements in both direction before, during and after conflicts.
it is now -37 dollars
So how does war affect oil prices? As far back as the Civil War we can see an impact with oil price spiking, but other conflicts like WWII didn’t have a lasting effect on the oil price chart. What
So we do think that conflicts have a short term effect on oil prices but there’s no guarantee that it’s always upwards. Several occasions have seen production in other areas ramp up to cushion the blow of any disruption in oil production in affected countries and areas.
Hey brother I love the video! What's your input now that oil is near the $30 range!!?? I think military action is going to kick off very very soon. Commenting from Afghanistan currently. I'm a recent buyer of Occidental Petroleum at $11/share.
But there are two conцlusions from this oil price technical analysis that are relatively clear:
1. Should oil prices spike, then it is very likely that they will drop down sharply once the conflict is resolved. This is a hypothtetical scenario in which bearish trades can be profitable
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2. The global economy has a larger impact on oil prices in general. Supply and demand from countries and industries outweighs the temporary fluctuations caused by conflict.
Do you think there will be a more serious conflict to impact the oil price in 2020? Let us know in the comments! And let us know what you think about our Oil Price and War Historical Analysis Since 1861 video!
some institutions money is manipulating the oil price after war taking the oil generally down trend and range bounce once hits some supporting points at 57, oil market right now is very abnormal and weird. Someone should look into this situation.
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Another good video! Thank you David
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Today weekly inventory report will be released. That will drive the market over next days.
API report, released yesterday was a little bearish. So 58 is under pressure again.
We need a bullish report to contain the drop and start the recovery
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bought around 58.42 with SL around 57.2, I think a mistake I did was going all in with oil, I am confident that the price won't drop below 57.5 but its oil after all so lets see what happens, I am frankly nervous and already lost a good bit of money this month so I am hoping to see 60 shortly possibly by the end of this week, lets see how this plays out, like 60 from me
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Very useful, please keep making more videos as you offer so much insight into fundamental and technical analysis!
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