Commodity Prices Keep Falling: What Next for Global Trade in 2026 (ft. World Bank) | Beyond The Box
Video Overview & Insights
Global commodity prices - from energy and metals to agriculture - shape everything from shipping demand to supply chain costs. For logistics and trade professionals, understanding these trends is critical to building resilience and staying competitive.
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In this episode of Beyond The Box, we dive into the World Bank Group’s Commodity Markets Outlook and explore what falling prices mean for global trade and supply chains in 2026.
Our guests:
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🎙️ John Baffes, Senior Agriculture Economist, World Bank
🎙️ Farzin Mirmotahari, Senior Operations Officer, International Finance Corporation
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You’ll learn:
📦 Why energy, metals, and agriculture drive global trade and logistics
📦 How price swings impact exporters, manufacturers, and shipping costs
📦 Key differences between mature and emerging commodity markets
📦 Financing strategies to manage margin pressure and interest rate risks
📦 How trade finance supports sustainability goals like decarbonization
External links:
🔗 Commodity Markets Outlook Report (October 2025), World Bank Group: https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets
If you’re a supply chain leader, logistics strategist, or global trade professional, this episode offers actionable insights to help you navigate uncertainty and prepare for the year ahead.
Chapters:
00:00 – Welcome to Beyond The Box
00:13 – Introducing Our Guests: World Bank & IFC
00:27 – Price Declines and Global Trade Implications
01:26 – Forecast: 7% Decline in Commodity Prices in 2026
01:54 – What’s Driving the Commodity Downturn?
02:16 – Oil Market Deep Dive: Oversupply and Demand Shifts
04:39 – Agriculture and Metals: Stability vs. Stress
05:25 – Exceptions: Gold, Coffee, Cocoa, and Fertilizers
07:02 – IFC’s Role in Financing Global Supply Chains
08:14 – Emerging Markets: Regional Winners and Losers
10:58 – Incentives for Sustainable Supply Chains
12:57 – Trade Restrictions and Sanctions: Short-Term vs Long-Term Impact
14:47 – Building Resilience: IFC’s Flexible Financing Approach
Interview recorded on 21 November, 2025.
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