2026 Oil Recession: How I'm Investing Right Now
Video Overview & Insights
As the Iran war continues, the United States is being pushed closer and closer to recession. But what does this mean for investors, and will this present a golden opportunity?
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What truly matters to us investors is what other investors do - not the financial situation of the lower third of wage earners. People are struggling to make it financially right now, but money is still flowing into the stock markets. Is it "Irrational Exuberance"? Will it continue or end?
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There is always two economies. The people with little to no debt and own assets are getting wealthier. The people who have a lot of consumer debt , no assets , high mortgages, car payments they are going the other way.
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Very Informative video. Well I'm 45, a family attorney, and honestly? I don't even think of pension at all but I have 2 homes paid off and my daughter's med school is fully covered. Real wealth is silent!I Over time I realized it's not about following trends like everyone else, it's about having a strategy that consistently works. Literally make up to 20k in 2 wks
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I have $200k to invest and I'm worried to lump sum invest.... Ugh
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Thanks Phil always good info
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Whats your opinion on hier taxes for the ultra rich like you?
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DISCLAIMER:
Is your portfolio picks public? Where can i see them if so, thanks.
Rule One Investing provides general education only. We are not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial advisor. Nothing here or in any workshop constitutes personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
Phil Town’s personal results (e.g., turning $1,000 into more than $1.4 million) are historical, shown for educational purposes only, and are not typical. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Most investors do not achieve similar returns.
This war is about other countries continuing to buy oil in US dollars instead of other currencies.
Stock examples and outcomes shown are illustrative only and are not recommendations. Investing involves substantial risk, including complete loss of principal. No strategy guarantees profits.
Testimonials are from real, unpaid students who volunteered their experiences.
Today oil is down to $83.65...I thought libs said it would be 200 dollars a barrel? CA's gas tax is 60 cents on top of the 18 cent federal.
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Wow, this is some boomer slop
More User Perspectives
No Recession for the US, oil will be down to 75 bucks a barrel by September
@sonofnun7803Will there be another in-person workshop in the near future? Thank you.
@PeteBuchwaldAs a side note is it is crushing consumer demand outside of America, the country who is starving the world with this war. So for global companies and those not in the chosen ones land it may be a tough time ahead.
@projimboThe brave Iranians are reversing the revolution to constitutional monarchy. Plus the people of Iran and the ruling thugs cannot be more different so please make a distinction between them tnx
@saro4761Great video. Clear and concise!
@patrickbrand1319As always, appreciate the post, Phil !
@gaerkejGreat!!!! Now I've hit $558,685. I was having this exact conversation with my son the other night-generational wealth isn't just about getting money. It's about teaching everyone not only how to make it, but also how to maintain it. It does no good for me to provide for my family if they don't understand how to manage and sustain it.
@DecIanLongPhil, Buffett would never have been foolish enough to predict a recession.
@jamespier780160% of the country is seriously suffering right now, I can't imagine a scenario where this doesn't lead to a recession. It's just a matter of how and when it finally affects the market.
@Laz_RSYour President says he doesn’t need anything from Canada….
@PunkRockGardenerThe tricky part is determining good management.
@motrock93bHi Phil, will you do a video on LULU at all? Struggling to think of a reason not to go almost all in at its current price!
@Lewis809in other words: ORCL is dooooomed!
@Nilz4FRafter all those years investing, I bet you're going to learn something new from this oil crisis
If you follow geopolitics, you know that there isn't a solution to this, there is no likely scenario where the oil in the gulf is going back to where it was, Hormuz will likely remain closed for a long time, OR, oil facilities will be destroyed, reducing production for a long time.
U.S. is the #1 produce of oil, but so what? those companies will not sell the oil cheaper domestically, you like the free market don't you? This means those companies will sell to the highest bidder.
Employment numbers are bad, not good, and they are faked
You didn't touch on the value of the dollar or treasury yields. what will happen to those after oil flow is interrupted for a longer time? What will happen when the constant stream of money from rich gulf states stop flowing to treasuries and the U.S. market? what will happen to the dollar demand?
Nobody knows the future, but you surely can see the very very many signs, imho, recession is inevitable and it's close, and ffs don't invest in APPL
The man who LOVES his (adult) daughter has done it again!!
Great general info... albeit with some generalizations that are over-generalized or over simplified...
A decent pair of sneakers for me is 50 buck, maybe 60 bucks... how much is the course?
@miket2916Tell us 3 companies that has this bit not apple coca c ?
@klubradnikaPhil, if this is like your other prediction that the war will end in less than a month, I take a pass...
@y64709what are we buying
@anonc-c8eThanks Phil. Love your course! keep rocking
@RsonicusIt's a life changing education.
@TheMobilTraderPalantir no debt has a great moat and a massive amount of cash awesome management it's a buy
@zigzaggstingThe most important thing everyone should think about now is how to invest in different sources of income that are not dependant on the government. Especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in different stocks like gold, silver and digital currencies.
@KennethD.FranzenHormuz is the Black Swan, but everyone is trying to convince themselves that it’s just another swan. This happened in 1928 and 29 too, when there were plenty of Black Swans but retail investors kept pushing the market higher.
The subprime crisis and liquidity crunch hit in 2007 and the SP kept going higher for almost a year. We were getting layoffs at a major port in early 2008 and the market kept going up.
But, you know, it’s different this time.
The difference this time, is that the US is producing more oil than it needs, so imports are not so relative.
PLUS, we have TRUMP, an actual LEADER, and NOT a dementia patient in the White House.
Doomers gonna doom. Bloomers gonna bloom, swooners gonna swoon...
@cremlsA major announcement of the war peace deal getting close just about every week for the last two month , 7 times, and are no closer than day one. But oil goes down in price everytime ? PS too late it’s already buried.
@Twofer1122Jerome Powell in his last Fomc Q&A had stated: the US economy is surprisingly still resilient despite the shocks since 2020, consumer spending remains high.
@O.ShawabkehHow many videos can you do on this matter in a decade, you'll do the same one in a year
@Jaybru121Nice video, simple and clear. Thanks.
@joseestupinan4484There is nothing visible that has a GOOD PRICE right now. Not too beneficial this advice until AI crashes
@doriangray2347I dont agree on it, layoffs are insane, inflation high, people cant afford rent and live in their cars, consumers are weak, gas is expensive, just like before, it follows with market correction, ww3 on the edge, US is banned in europe military bases, NATO will soon be without US, buffett is sitting on cash prepering for a huge correction, Trump is laying all the time etc. US is expensive and I dont buy more of it. You said products in US, have you tried fake food or small portions in same bix boxes? US products are bad compared to other countries. Tech is holding US markets with AI, but AI might fall very hard if China starts giving out cheap or free AI tools. US has not much then.
@tvamanadsloner7220The oil recession is designed for companies to continue price gouging consumers, just like the tariffs, the media and the White House are in on it, they won't announce it. The current economy is worse than 08'-09'.
@TravelTechie415